Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 20:00
Deportivo Madryn vs Colon
Expected goals: 2.27 (Deportivo Madryn 1.23 · Colon 1.04). The model gives 39% home, 32% draw, 29% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Madryn 1516 · Colon 1512
| Deportivo Madryn | Draw | Colon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 32% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.27Deportivo Madryn 1.23 · Colon 1.04
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Madryn | Colon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Madryn 0–2–1 Colon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Colon | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 26/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | Colon | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 09/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Colon |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Colon | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 26 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | CA San Telmo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 13 | Racing de Cordoba | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | All Boys | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 18 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 18 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 17 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Madryn | Colon |
|---|---|---|
| Los Andes | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CA Chaco For Ever | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Defensores de Belgrano | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 13 | W |
| 14/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Colon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 10/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |