Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 20:00
CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing de Cordoba
Expected goals: 1.82 (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.07 · Racing de Cordoba 0.75). The model gives 42% home, 34% draw, 25% away. Over 1.5 goals (53%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-0.
42%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1530 · Racing de Cordoba 1471
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Racing de Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 42% | 33% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.82CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.07 · Racing de Cordoba 0.75
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1530 vs 1471).
- H2H favours CA Estudiantes Caseros: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Racing de Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.6 | 6.8 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 3–1–1 Racing de Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Racing de Cordoba | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 28/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing de Cordoba |
| 12/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Racing de Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 25/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Racing de Cordoba |
| 18/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | Racing de Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Colon | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 26 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | CA San Telmo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 13 | Racing de Cordoba | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | All Boys | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 18 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 18 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 17 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Estudiantes Caseros | Racing de Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Los Andes | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Moron | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CA San Telmo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Chaco For Ever | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Estudiantes Caseros (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 26/04 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Racing de Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 20/04 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |