⚽ Football · Japan Regional League · 27/06, 03:00
Kawasoe Club vs Brew Saga
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kawasoe Club 1498 · Brew Saga 1467
| Kawasoe Club | Draw | Brew Saga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.66Kawasoe Club 1.61 · Brew Saga 1.04
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kawasoe Club | Brew Saga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Kawasoe Club 0–2–1 Brew Saga
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Japan Regional League | Brew Saga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kawasoe Club |
| 26/07/25 Japan Regional League | Brew Saga | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kawasoe Club |
| 01/06/25 Japan Regional League | Kawasoe Club | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Brew Saga |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Kawasoe Club
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Mitsubishi Nagasaki SC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/09 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | J-Lease FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Brew Saga
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 07/09 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 03/08 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/07 | FC Hakata Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 0 | W |