⚽ Football · Japan L2 League Women · 27/06, 06:00
FC Osaka Speranza (W) vs FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Osaka Speranza (W) 1513 · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1420
| FC Osaka Speranza (W) | Draw | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 27% | 12% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.13FC Osaka Speranza (W) 1.56 · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 0.57
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 58%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Osaka Speranza (W) (rating 1513 vs 1420).
- H2H favours FC Osaka Speranza (W): 2-1-1.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Osaka Speranza (W) | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Osaka Speranza (W) 2–1–1 FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/23 Japan L1 League Women | FC Osaka Speranza (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) |
| 02/04/23 Japan L1 League Women | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 3-2 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) |
| 10/07/21 Japan L1 League Women | FC Osaka Speranza (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) |
| 02/05/21 Japan L1 League Women | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Osaka Speranza (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |