⚽ Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 28/06, 06:00
Newcastle Olympic FC (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1436 · Charlestown Azzurri (W) 1462
| Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | Draw | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 23% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.4Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1.8 · Charlestown Azzurri (W) 1.61
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.4 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Charlestown Azzurri (W): 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 2–1–3 Charlestown Azzurri (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
| 28/02/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
| 27/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
| 10/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) |
| 16/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
| 15/09/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-5 | 1-9 | 2 | 0 | L |
Charlestown Azzurri (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 13/03 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |