⚽ Football · South Korea K4 League · 27/06, 12:00
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Seoul Jungnang FC
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1395 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1481
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | Draw | Seoul Jungnang FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.03Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1.41 · Seoul Jungnang FC 1.62
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seoul Jungnang FC (rating 1395 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Seoul Jungnang FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | Seoul Jungnang FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1–3–2 Seoul Jungnang FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Seoul Jungnang FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC |
| 02/08/25 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Seoul Jungnang FC |
| 26/07/25 South Korea K4 League | Seoul Jungnang FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC |
| 10/05/25 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 3-5 HT 1-1 | Seoul Jungnang FC |
| 08/09/24 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Seoul Jungnang FC |
| 18/05/24 South Korea K4 League | Seoul Jungnang FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
2-2 | 2-7 | 3 | 6 | L |
Seoul Jungnang FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |