⚽ Football · South Korea K4 League · 28/06, 07:00
Jincheon HR vs Namyangju FC
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jincheon HR 1529 · Namyangju FC 1477
| Jincheon HR | Draw | Namyangju FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.67Jincheon HR 1.69 · Namyangju FC 0.98
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jincheon HR (rating 1529 vs 1477).
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jincheon HR | Namyangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.6 | 2.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Jincheon HR 0–1–0 Namyangju FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Namyangju FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Jincheon HR |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Jincheon HR
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
3-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Namyangju FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
3-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |