⚽ Football · South Korea K4 League · 28/06, 07:00
Sejong SA vs Pyeongchang United
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sejong SA 1544 · Pyeongchang United 1489
| Sejong SA | Draw | Pyeongchang United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.86Sejong SA 1.8 · Pyeongchang United 1.06
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sejong SA (rating 1544 vs 1489).
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sejong SA | Pyeongchang United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong SA 1–1–0 Pyeongchang United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongchang United | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sejong SA |
| 21/06/25 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongchang United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sejong SA |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sejong SA
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Pyeongchang United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |