⚽ Football · South Korea K4 League · 28/06, 10:00
Jecheon Citizen vs Gijang United
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jecheon Citizen 1557 · Gijang United 1467
| Jecheon Citizen | Draw | Gijang United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.54Jecheon Citizen 1.75 · Gijang United 0.79
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jecheon Citizen (rating 1557 vs 1467).
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jecheon Citizen | Gijang United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Jecheon Citizen 1–0–0 Gijang United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Gijang United | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Jecheon Citizen |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Jecheon Citizen
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
Gijang United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |