⚽ Football · South Korea K4 League · 27/06, 09:00
Jinju Citizen FC vs Seosan Pioneer
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jinju Citizen FC 1582 · Seosan Pioneer 1422
| Jinju Citizen FC | Draw | Seosan Pioneer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.42Jinju Citizen FC 2.43 · Seosan Pioneer 0.99
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jinju Citizen FC (rating 1582 vs 1422).
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jinju Citizen FC | Seosan Pioneer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Jinju Citizen FC 1–0–0 Seosan Pioneer
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Seosan Pioneer | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Jinju Citizen FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Jinju Citizen FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/05 | Haman South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Seosan Pioneer
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |