⚽ Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 26/06, 11:45
Keilor Park vs Moreland City SC
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keilor Park 1529 · Moreland City SC 1429
| Keilor Park | Draw | Moreland City SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.03Keilor Park 2.03 · Moreland City SC 1
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keilor Park (rating 1529 vs 1429).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Keilor Park | Moreland City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Keilor Park 1–0–0 Moreland City SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Keilor Park |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Keilor Park
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Moreland City SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/03 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |