⚽ Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/06, 18:00
El Porvenir vs Leones de Rosario
33%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Porvenir 1518 · Leones de Rosario 1548
| El Porvenir | Draw | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 38% | 26% |
| Market | 31% | 33% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.56 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.56El Porvenir 0.86 · Leones de Rosario 0.7
BTTSNo · 70%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.56 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Porvenir | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.9 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · El Porvenir 0–1–0 Leones de Rosario
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Leones de Rosario | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
El Porvenir
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 27/04 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
Leones de Rosario
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/04 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |