⚽ Football · Bhutan Premier League · 26/06, 12:00
RTC FC vs Transport United FC
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RTC FC 1555 · Transport United FC 1485
| RTC FC | Draw | Transport United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.29RTC FC 2.06 · Transport United FC 1.23
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total3 goals
💎 ValueRTC FC · +6.7%The model gives this bet 6.7% more probability than its odds (2.20) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RTC FC (rating 1555 vs 1485).
- High estimate: 3.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours RTC FC: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RTC FC | Transport United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · RTC FC 3–2–1 Transport United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Bhutan Premier League | Transport United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | RTC FC |
| 03/07/25 Bhutan Premier League | RTC FC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Transport United FC |
| 09/08/24 Bhutan Premier League | RTC FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Transport United FC |
| 26/05/24 Bhutan Premier League | Transport United FC | 4-4 HT 2-3 | RTC FC |
| 28/10/23 Bhutan Premier League | Transport United FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | RTC FC |
| 13/11/22 Bhutan Premier League | Transport United FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | RTC FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
RTC FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Drukpa FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/05 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/05 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 21/09 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Tsirang FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 19/08 | Southern City Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
Transport United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/10 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/10 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 24/09 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | BFF Academy U19 Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Tsirang FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |