⚽ Football · Argentina Championship Women · 26/06, 18:00
River Plate (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · River Plate (W) 1545 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1415
| River Plate (W) | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 72% | 20% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.66River Plate (W) 1.95 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.71
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (W) (rating 1545 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Newell's Old Boys (W): 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Plate (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate (W) 1–0–2 Newell's Old Boys (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | River Plate (W) |
| 16/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-3 HT 2-2 | River Plate (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
River Plate (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 25/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 21/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/03 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |