⚽ Football · Argentina Championship Women · 27/06, 20:00
Banfield (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1514 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1498
| Banfield (W) | Draw | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.43Banfield (W) 1.45 · Gimnasia LP (W) 0.98
Most likely total2 goals
💎 ValueOver 2 goals · +6.3%The model gives this bet 6.3% more probability than its odds (2.05) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 3–0–3 Gimnasia LP (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 20/07/25 Women’s Friendly | Banfield (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 17/03/24 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 05/03/23 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Banfield (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/03 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 14/03 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Gimnasia LP (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/03 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 4 | W |