⚽ Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 30/06, 22:00
LDU Quito vs Orense
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LDU Quito 1520 · Orense 1528
| LDU Quito | Draw | Orense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 30% | 28% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.41LDU Quito 1.36 · Orense 1.05
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours LDU Quito: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Quito | Orense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Quito 4–0–2 Orense
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 1-2 HT 1-2 | LDU Quito |
| 06/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | LDU Quito |
| 05/11/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Orense |
| 29/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 2-1 HT 1-0 | LDU Quito |
| 01/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Orense |
| 06/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Orense |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
LDU Quito
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Orense
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |