Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 28/06, 19:00
Difaa El Jadida vs KACM Marrakesh
34%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Difaa El Jadida 1524 · KACM Marrakesh 1488
| Difaa El Jadida | Draw | KACM Marrakesh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.88Difaa El Jadida 0.92 · KACM Marrakesh 0.96
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 56%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.88 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours KACM Marrakesh: 2-3-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Difaa El Jadida | KACM Marrakesh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Difaa El Jadida 1–3–2 KACM Marrakesh
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Difaa El Jadida |
| 08/06/24 Morocco GNF 2 | Difaa El Jadida | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KACM Marrakesh |
| 08/12/23 Morocco GNF 2 | KACM Marrakesh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Difaa El Jadida |
| 02/03/19 Morocco GNF 1 | Difaa El Jadida | 1-1 HT 1-1 | KACM Marrakesh |
| 20/10/18 Morocco GNF 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Difaa El Jadida |
| 28/04/18 Morocco GNF 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Difaa El Jadida |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Difaa El Jadida
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 07/05 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
KACM Marrakesh
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 12/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | JS Soualem Morocco Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |