Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 28/06, 19:00
OC Safi vs CODM Meknes
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OC Safi 1481 · CODM Meknes 1465
| OC Safi | Draw | CODM Meknes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 34% | 22% |
| Market | 45% | 33% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.84OC Safi 1.13 · CODM Meknes 0.71
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 57%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.84 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours CODM Meknes: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OC Safi | CODM Meknes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OC Safi 1–0–2 CODM Meknes
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | CODM Meknes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | OC Safi |
| 11/04/25 Morocco GNF 1 | CODM Meknes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | OC Safi |
| 22/11/24 Morocco GNF 1 | OC Safi | 3-0 HT 0-0 | CODM Meknes |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OC Safi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 23/05 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
CODM Meknes
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 06/05 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |