Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 28/06, 19:00
Ittihad Tanger vs Raja Casablanca
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ittihad Tanger 1542 · Raja Casablanca 1524
| Ittihad Tanger | Draw | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 30% | 55% |
| Market | 16% | 28% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.06Ittihad Tanger 0.64 · Raja Casablanca 1.42
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Raja Casablanca: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ittihad Tanger | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ittihad Tanger 1–2–3 Raja Casablanca
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ittihad Tanger |
| 23/01/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ittihad Tanger |
| 25/09/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Ittihad Tanger | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Raja Casablanca |
| 28/05/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Ittihad Tanger | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Raja Casablanca |
| 28/12/23 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Ittihad Tanger |
| 21/05/23 Morocco GNF 1 | Ittihad Tanger | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raja Casablanca |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ittihad Tanger
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | KAC Kenitra Morocco Cup |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Raja Casablanca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 09/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | JS Massira Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |