Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 28/06, 19:00
FAR Rabat vs Union de Touarga
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FAR Rabat 1544 · Union de Touarga 1501
| FAR Rabat | Draw | Union de Touarga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 23% | 9% |
| Market | 69% | 21% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsBoth teams score: Yes · 46% · @2.50 · +15%
Expected goals2.34FAR Rabat 1.82 · Union de Touarga 0.52
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FAR Rabat (rating 1544 vs 1501).
- H2H favours FAR Rabat: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FAR Rabat | Union de Touarga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FAR Rabat 3–2–1 Union de Touarga
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Union de Touarga | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FAR Rabat |
| 13/04/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Union de Touarga | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FAR Rabat |
| 22/11/24 Morocco GNF 1 | FAR Rabat | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Union de Touarga |
| 25/02/24 Morocco GNF 1 | FAR Rabat | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Union de Touarga |
| 07/10/23 Morocco GNF 1 | Union de Touarga | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FAR Rabat |
| 01/03/23 Morocco GNF 1 | FAR Rabat | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Union de Touarga |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FAR Rabat
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
Union de Touarga
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 09/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Fath Nador Morocco Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 07/05 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | L |