Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 28/06, 19:00
MAS Fes vs US Yacoub El Mansour
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MAS Fes 1518 · US Yacoub El Mansour 1513
| MAS Fes | Draw | US Yacoub El Mansour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 30% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.06MAS Fes 1.39 · US Yacoub El Mansour 0.67
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MAS Fes | US Yacoub El Mansour | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.5 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MAS Fes 1–0–1 US Yacoub El Mansour
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Morocco Cup | US Yacoub El Mansour | 1-0 HT 1-0 | MAS Fes |
| 20/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 1-2 HT 1-1 | MAS Fes |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MAS Fes
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 09/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 22/05 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
US Yacoub El Mansour
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 09/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | MAS Fes Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |