⚽ Football · Aruba Silver League · 25/06, 02:30
SV Caravel vs SV Estrella
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Caravel 1508 · SV Estrella 1475
| SV Caravel | Draw | SV Estrella | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 21% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.06SV Caravel 2.32 · SV Estrella 1.73
BTTSYes · 75%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 4.06 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Caravel | SV Estrella | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.8 | 2.2 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Caravel 2–1–2 SV Estrella
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/22 Aruba Division Di Honor | SV Caravel | 1-2 HT 1-0 | SV Estrella |
| 12/02/22 Aruba Division Di Honor | SV Estrella | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SV Caravel |
| 24/10/21 Aruba Division Di Honor | SV Caravel | 3-2 HT 1-1 | SV Estrella |
| 21/06/21 Aruba Division Di Honor | SV Caravel | 1-0 HT 0-1 | SV Estrella |
| 05/10/19 Aruba Division Di Honor | SV Caravel | 2-5 HT 1-1 | SV Estrella |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
SV Caravel
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | SV Deportivo Nacional Aruba Division Di Honor |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | FC San Nicolas Aruba Silver League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/05 | SV Estudiantes Aruba Silver League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | Real Koyari Aruba Division Di Honor |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | SV Atlantico Deportivo Aruba Silver League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | SV Deportivo Nacional Aruba Silver League |
1-2 | 1-8 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | SV Deportivo Nacional Aruba Division Di Honor |
1-2 | 1-8 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/04 | FC San Nicolas Aruba Silver League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/04 | SV Estudiantes Aruba Division Uno |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Real Koyari Aruba Division Di Honor |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
SV Estrella
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | SV Jong Aruba Aruba Division Di Honor |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | SV River Plate Aruba Silver League |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | SV Caiquetio Aruba Silver League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | SV Brazil Juniors Aruba Silver League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 27/04 | SV Jong Aruba Aruba Division Di Honor |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | SV River Plate Aruba Silver League |
1-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/04 | SV Caiquetio Aruba Division Di Honor |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/04 | SV Brazil Juniors Aruba Silver League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/03 | SV Unistars Aruba Division Di Honor |
3-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/02 | SV Dakota Aruba Division Di Honor |
0-7 | 2-11 | 1 | 5 | L |