⚽ Football · Macau 1st Division · 26/06, 15:00
Hang Sai vs Shao Jiang SA
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hang Sai 1453 · Shao Jiang SA 1576
| Hang Sai | Draw | Shao Jiang SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 19% | 49% |
| Market | 6% | 8% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.49 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.49Hang Sai 2.02 · Shao Jiang SA 2.47
Over / Under 4.5Over 4.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 79%
Likely score2-2
🔑 Match keys
- Shao Jiang SA usually leads at HT (60%) while Hang Sai trails (50%): look at away at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shao Jiang SA (rating 1453 vs 1576).
- High estimate: 4.49 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Shao Jiang SA: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 2.7 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 1.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hang Sai | Shao Jiang SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.5 | 3.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 5.1 / 8.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Hang Sai 0–0–2 Shao Jiang SA
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Macau 1st Division | Shao Jiang SA | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Hang Sai |
| 14/03/25 Macau 1st Division | Hang Sai | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Shao Jiang SA |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Hang Sai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Gala Macau FA Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Macau University Macau FA Cup |
4-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
4-1 | 7-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
Shao Jiang SA
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Benfica Macau Macau FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
6-0 | 11-0 | 17 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-2 | 3-3 | 18 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/01 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |