⚽ Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 26/06, 15:00
Scottland FC Mabvuku vs Manica Diamonds FC
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Scottland FC Mabvuku 1603 · Manica Diamonds FC 1466
| Scottland FC Mabvuku | Draw | Manica Diamonds FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 25% | 9% |
| Market | 67% | 23% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.11Scottland FC Mabvuku 1.66 · Manica Diamonds FC 0.45
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scottland FC Mabvuku (rating 1603 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Scottland FC Mabvuku: 2-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Scottland FC Mabvuku | Manica Diamonds FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 86/14/0% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Scottland FC Mabvuku 2–1–0 Manica Diamonds FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Manica Diamonds FC | 0-3 | Scottland FC Mabvuku |
| 26/09/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Scottland FC Mabvuku | 1-0 | Manica Diamonds FC |
| 17/05/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Manica Diamonds FC | 0-0 | Scottland FC Mabvuku |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Scottland FC Mabvuku
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Hardrock FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/06 | Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | CAPS United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/05 | Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Manica Diamonds FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |