Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 27/06, 15:00
Chicken Inn FC vs Hardrock FC
35%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chicken Inn FC 1478 · Hardrock FC 1559
| Chicken Inn FC | Draw | Hardrock FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 39% | 33% |
| Market | 31% | 32% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.51 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.51Chicken Inn FC 0.71 · Hardrock FC 0.8
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 50%
BTTSNo · 57%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hardrock FC (rating 1478 vs 1559).
- Low estimate: 1.51 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chicken Inn FC | Hardrock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicken Inn FC 0–0–1 Hardrock FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Hardrock FC | 1-0 | Chicken Inn FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chicken Inn FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Triangle United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/06 | CAPS United Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Hardrock FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |