Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 27/06, 15:00
CAPS United vs Triangle United
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CAPS United 1500 · Triangle United 1406
| CAPS United | Draw | Triangle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 27% | 11% |
| Market | 62% | 26% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.1CAPS United 1.56 · Triangle United 0.53
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CAPS United (rating 1500 vs 1406).
- H2H favours CAPS United: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CAPS United | Triangle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CAPS United 3–3–0 Triangle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Triangle United | 0-1 | CAPS United |
| 13/07/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | CAPS United | 1-1 | Triangle United |
| 16/03/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Triangle United | 0-2 | CAPS United |
| 18/11/23 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | Triangle United | 1-1 | CAPS United |
| 22/07/23 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | CAPS United | 1-1 | Triangle United |
| 02/10/22 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League | CAPS United | 2-1 | Triangle United |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CAPS United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Herentals FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Triangle United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Chicken Inn FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | ZPC Kariba FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Scottland FC Mabvuku Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | FC Platinum Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |