⚽ Football · Vietnam Championship Women · 24/06, 11:00
Ha Noi (W) vs Ho Chi Minh II (W)
80%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ha Noi (W) 1524 · Ho Chi Minh II (W) 1386
| Ha Noi (W) | Draw | Ho Chi Minh II (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickUnder 5 goals · 63%
Expected goals3.68Ha Noi (W) 2.48 · Ho Chi Minh II (W) 1.2
BTTSYes · 64%
Likely score2-1
💎 ValuePremium onlyHigh value detected. Go premium to see it.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on draw: the model gives it +14.4% more probability than its odds (1.95) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- Our estimated total (3.68) is far from Bet365's line (5): possible value on Under 5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ha Noi (W) (rating 1524 vs 1386).
- High estimate: 3.68 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Ha Noi (W): 6-0-0.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ha Noi (W) | Ho Chi Minh II (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ha Noi (W) 6–0–0 Ho Chi Minh II (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Ha Noi (W) | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) |
| 17/09/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ha Noi (W) |
| 18/07/24 Vietnam Championship Women | Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 0-7 HT 0-2 | Ha Noi (W) |
| 15/12/23 Vietnam Championship Women | Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ha Noi (W) |
| 22/11/23 Vietnam Championship Women | Ha Noi (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) |
| 17/10/22 Vietnam Championship Women | Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Ha Noi (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ha Noi (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 13/10 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/10 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
Ho Chi Minh II (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/10 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/10 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/10 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/10 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-4 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/09 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/09 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |