⚽ Football · Lithuania A Lyga Women · 25/06, 14:00
MFA Zalgiris (W) vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
49%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFA Zalgiris (W) 1566 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 1509
| MFA Zalgiris (W) | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.51MFA Zalgiris (W) 1.63 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 0.88
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 53%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFA Zalgiris (W) (rating 1566 vs 1509).
- H2H favours MFA Zalgiris (W): 3-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.5 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFA Zalgiris (W) | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · MFA Zalgiris (W) 3–2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | MFA Zalgiris (W) |
| 12/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | MFA Zalgiris (W) |
| 24/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | MFA Zalgiris (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) |
| 24/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | MFA Zalgiris (W) |
| 13/04/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | MFA Zalgiris (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
MFA Zalgiris (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/11 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 27/05 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Banga (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/03 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |