⚽ Football · Dominica Premier League · 24/06, 01:30
Promex Harlem United SC vs We United FC
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Promex Harlem United SC 1483 · We United FC 1457
| Promex Harlem United SC | Draw | We United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.5Promex Harlem United SC 2.02 · We United FC 1.48
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 67%
Likely score2-1
💎 ValuePremium onlyHigh value detected. Go premium to see it.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Promex Harlem United SC: the model gives it +11.1% more probability than its odds (4.00) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- High estimate: 3.6 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Promex Harlem United SC: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.4 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Promex Harlem United SC | We United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 3.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Promex Harlem United SC 3–1–2 We United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | We United FC |
| 21/06/25 Dominica Premier League | We United FC | 7-0 HT 5-0 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 19/05/25 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | We United FC |
| 19/08/23 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 2-3 HT 2-2 | We United FC |
| 19/03/23 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | We United FC |
| 09/05/21 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | We United FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Promex Harlem United SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/06 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/08 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
We United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
2-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/06 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/11 | Dublanc FC Dominica President Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/10 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica President Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |