⚽ Football · Mongolia Premier League · 24/06, 13:00
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid Klub
52%1
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.25FC Ulaanbaatar 2.3 · Khangarid Klub 1.95
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 77%
Likely score2-1
💎 ValueDraw +5%The model gives this bet 5% more probability than its odds (1.95) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Estimate (4.25) is far from Bet365's line (3.5): possible value on Over 3.5.
- High estimate: 4.25 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours FC Ulaanbaatar: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 3.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Ulaanbaatar | Khangarid Klub | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 0.6 | 3.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.4 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ulaanbaatar 3–1–2 Khangarid Klub
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | FC Ulaanbaatar | 3-1 | Khangarid Klub |
| 14/10/25 | Khangarid Klub | 1-3 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 19/06/25 | Khangarid Klub | 6-2 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 22/03/25 | FC Ulaanbaatar | 0-0 | Khangarid Klub |
| 25/08/24 | Khangarid Klub | 0-2 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 04/05/24 | Khangarid Klub | 2-1 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Ulaanbaatar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
6-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
6-1 | 7-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/11 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Khangarid Klub
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
5-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/11 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |