⚽ Football · Ecuador Primera Women · 24/06, 19:00
Macara (W) vs Barcelona Guayaquil (W)
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macara (W) 1453 · Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 1597
| Macara (W) | Draw | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 7% | 13% | 80% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.89Macara (W) 1.15 · Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 1.74
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona Guayaquil (W) (rating 1453 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Barcelona Guayaquil (W): 4-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.8 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macara (W) | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/13/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Macara (W) 0–1–4 Barcelona Guayaquil (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Ecuador Primera Women | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Macara (W) |
| 13/08/25 Ecuador Primera Women | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 4-0 | Macara (W) |
| 26/04/25 Ecuador Primera Women | Macara (W) | 0-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) |
| 29/06/24 Ecuador Primera Women | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Macara (W) |
| 15/05/24 Ecuador Primera Women | Macara (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Macara (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
Barcelona Guayaquil (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/03 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/03 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |