⚽ Football · Ecuador Primera Women · 24/06, 23:00
CD Espuce (W) vs Deportivo Ibarra (W)
50%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Espuce (W) 1406 · Deportivo Ibarra (W) 1503
| CD Espuce (W) | Draw | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.06CD Espuce (W) 1.39 · Deportivo Ibarra (W) 1.67
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Ibarra (W) (rating 1406 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Deportivo Ibarra (W): 2-3-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Espuce (W) | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 2.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Espuce (W) 1–3–2 Deportivo Ibarra (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Ecuador Primera Women | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CD Espuce (W) |
| 07/06/25 Ecuador Primera Women | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | CD Espuce (W) |
| 22/03/25 Ecuador Primera Women | CD Espuce (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) |
| 19/06/24 Ecuador Primera Women | CD Espuce (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) |
| 28/04/23 Ecuador Primera Women | CD Espuce (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) |
| 29/05/21 Ecuador Primera Women | CD Espuce (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
CD Espuce (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Deportivo Ibarra (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |