⚽ Football · Europe Friendlies · 23/06, 18:00
NK Aluminij vs Pyunik Yerevan
49%2
🧠 Model analysis
PickUnder 2.5 goals · 74%
Expected goals1.75NK Aluminij 0.6 · Pyunik Yerevan 1.15
BTTSNo · 69%
Likely score0-1
💎 ValuePyunik Yerevan +10.9%The model gives this bet 10.9% more probability than its odds (2.35) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Pyunik Yerevan: the model gives it +10.9% more probability than its odds (2.35) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- Estimate (1.75) is far from Bet365's line (3): possible value on Under 3.
- Low estimate: 1.75 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Aluminij | Pyunik Yerevan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.4 | 2.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
NK Aluminij
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | NK Race | 0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | NK Maribor | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Koper | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Celje | 0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | NK Bravo | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | NK Bravo | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | NS Mura | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Pyunik Yerevan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | FC Van | 1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Noah | 0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | Gandzasar Kapan | 1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | BKMA FC | 1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Ararat Armenia | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Noah | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 23/04 | FC Urartu | 1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Ararat Yerevan | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | Ararat Armenia | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Shirak | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |