Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 30/06, 12:00
SD Raiders vs Sydney FC U21
Expected goals: 2.72 (SD Raiders 1.41 · Sydney FC U21 1.31). The model gives 39% home, 27% draw, 34% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SD Raiders 1529 · Sydney FC U21 1538
| SD Raiders | Draw | Sydney FC U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.72SD Raiders 1.41 · Sydney FC U21 1.31
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sydney FC U21: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Raiders | Sydney FC U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Raiders 0–0–2 Sydney FC U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 3-2 HT 2-1 | SD Raiders |
| 19/02/21 Australia Friendlies | SD Raiders | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Sydney FC U21 |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 23 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 35 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 32 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 29 | 31 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | SD Raiders | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 34 | 26 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 30 | 26 |
| 11 | Manly Utd | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 24 |
| 13 | University NSW | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 22 |
| 14 | St George Saints | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Blacktown City | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 18 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SD Raiders | Sydney FC U21 |
|---|---|---|
| St George City FA | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Sydney United 58 | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Rockdale Ilinden FC | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Sydney Olympic | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sutherland Sharks | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| NWS Spirit FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney FC U21 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SD Raiders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St George City FA Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Sydney FC U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 05/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |