Football · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · 28/06, 22:15
Sporting Cristal (W) vs Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting Cristal (W) 1558 · Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1580
| Sporting Cristal (W) | Draw | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.22Sporting Cristal (W) 2.55 · Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 0.67
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.22 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.3 combined avg at HT (1.6 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting Cristal (W) | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/13/13% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.6 | 1.3 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Cristal (W) 0–0–1 Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 2-1 | Sporting Cristal (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting Cristal (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-1 | 8-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |