⚽ Football · Argentina Torneo Promocional Amateur · 23/06, 20:00
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
40%2
Pick: 2 · 40%
Under 2.5 · 70%
Both to score No
Score: 0-1
💎 +5.1%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 1.9 (Estrella de Berisso 0.85 · Defensores de Glew 1.05). The model gives 29% home, 32% draw, 40% away. Recommendation: Defensores de Glew (40%, baja confidence). Under 2.5 goals (70%) and not both to score (63%). Most likely score: 0-1. 💎 Value spotted on Defensores de Glew: +5.1% over the odds (2.6).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Defensores de Glew: the model gives +5.1% over odds 2.6.
- Low estimate: 1.9 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Estrella de Berisso: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Estrella de Berisso | Defensores de Glew | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 6.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella de Berisso 2–1–0 Defensores de Glew
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/24 | Defensores de Glew | 1-1 | Estrella de Berisso |
| 07/12/21 | Defensores de Glew | 2-3 | Estrella de Berisso |
| 24/11/21 | Estrella de Berisso | 2-1 | Defensores de Glew |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Estrella de Berisso
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | CUDP Lobos | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 11/09 | Belgrano Zarate | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/09 | Social Atletico Television | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Belgrano Zarate | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 12 | L |
| 07/10 | Barrancas FC | 0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 30/09 | Ezeiza | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/09 | Everton la Plata | 1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 08/09 | Social Atletico Television | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/08 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Defensores de Glew
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/09 | Ezeiza | 1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 03/09 | Social Atletico Television | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/08 | Atletico Pilar | 2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Juventud de Bernal | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Social Atletico Television | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 13/04 | CUDP Lobos | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Estrella de Berisso | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |