⚽ Football · Bhutan Premier League · 23/06, 12:00
Paro FC vs Ugyen Academy
62%1
Pick: 1 · 62%
Over 2.5 · 84%
Both to score Yes
Score: 2-1
💎 +14%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 4.7 (Paro FC 2.95 · Ugyen Academy 1.75). The model gives 62% home, 17% draw, 21% away. Recommendation: Paro FC (62%, alta confidence). Over 2.5 goals (84%) and both teams to score (78%). Most likely score: 2-1. 💎 Value spotted on Ugyen Academy: +14% over the odds (13).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Ugyen Academy: the model gives +14% over odds 13.
- High estimate: 4.7 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Paro FC: 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 2.8 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paro FC | Ugyen Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Paro FC 5–1–0 Ugyen Academy
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 | Paro FC | 3-2 | Ugyen Academy |
| 28/06/25 | Ugyen Academy | 0-3 | Paro FC |
| 26/08/23 | Ugyen Academy | 0-3 | Paro FC |
| 03/12/22 | Paro FC | 4-0 | Ugyen Academy |
| 22/10/22 | Ugyen Academy | 1-1 | Paro FC |
| 09/01/22 | Paro FC | 3-0 | Ugyen Academy |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Paro FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Transport United FC | 2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | RTC FC | 1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Thimphu City | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/10 | FC Abdysh-Ata Kant | 2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/10 | Altyn Asyr FK | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 25/10 | Al Shabab Seeb | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/10 | Thimphu City | 2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Transport United FC | 1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Southern City | 9-0 | 20-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Tensung FC | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Ugyen Academy
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Thimphu City | – | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Tensung FC | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | BFF Academy U19 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/10 | Transport United FC | 2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/10 | BFF Academy U19 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/10 | Southern City | 1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/09 | RTC FC | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Thimphu City | 2-2 | 2-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Paro FC | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southern City | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |