⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 24/06, 02:30
Peoria City vs St. Louis Ambush
48%1
Pick: 1 · 48%
Over 2.5 · 72%
Both to score Yes
Score: 2-1
💎 +13.5%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.75 (Peoria City 2.1 · St. Louis Ambush 1.65). The model gives 48% home, 21% draw, 31% away. Recommendation: Peoria City (48%, media confidence). Over 2.5 goals (72%) and both teams to score (71%). Most likely score: 2-1. 💎 Value spotted on St. Louis Ambush: +13.5% over the odds (5.25).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on St. Louis Ambush: the model gives +13.5% over odds 5.25.
- Estimate (3.75) is far from Bet365's line (3): possible value on Over 3.
- High estimate: 3.75 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Peoria City: 4-0-0.
- Early goals: 2.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peoria City | St. Louis Ambush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 6.7 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | – / – |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Peoria City 4–0–0 St. Louis Ambush
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | St. Louis Ambush | 1-3 | Peoria City |
| 25/06/25 | St. Louis Ambush | 1-3 | Peoria City |
| 18/05/25 | Peoria City | 3-1 | St. Louis Ambush |
| 11/05/25 | St. Louis Ambush | 1-2 | Peoria City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Peoria City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sunflower State FC | 0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Springfield FC | 1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Santafe Wanderers | 1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Santafe Wanderers | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Springfield FC | 1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Des Moines Menace | 1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | St. Louis Ambush | 2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Minneapolis City SC Futures | 1-1 | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Sunflower State FC | 2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/07 | Springfield FC | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 5 | L |
St. Louis Ambush
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Des Moines Menace | 0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Sunflower State FC | 2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Springfield FC | 0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Santafe Wanderers | 0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Santafe Wanderers | 0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/05 | Springfield FC | 2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Sunflower State FC | 2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Peoria City | 1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Des Moines Menace | 2-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/06 | Springfield FC | 3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |