⚽ Football · Venezuela Cup · 24/06, 22:00
Academia Anzoategui FC vs Atletico Avila
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Anzoategui FC 1447 · Atletico Avila 1473
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Draw | Atletico Avila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.52Academia Anzoategui FC 1.36 · Atletico Avila 1.16
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSYes · 51%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueDraw +5.4%The model gives this bet 5.4% more probability than its odds (1.90) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Atletico Avila | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.3 | 6.7 / 0.2 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Academia Anzoategui FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/03 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 01/03 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 23/02 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Atletico Avila
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 29/03 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |