⚽ Football · Venezuela Cup · 24/06, 23:00
Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zamora 1493 · Atletico El Vigia 1420
| Zamora | Draw | Atletico El Vigia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.17Zamora 2.01 · Atletico El Vigia 1.16
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zamora (rating 1493 vs 1420).
- High estimate: 3.17 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zamora | Atletico El Vigia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Zamora
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 16/03 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/02 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/02 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Atletico El Vigia
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/04 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 29/03 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |