⚽ Football · Venezuela Cup · 24/06, 22:00
Barquisimeto vs Yaracuyanos
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barquisimeto 1518 · Yaracuyanos 1494
| Barquisimeto | Draw | Yaracuyanos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.67Barquisimeto 1.6 · Yaracuyanos 1.07
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 58%
BTTSYes · 52%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueDraw +7%The model gives this bet 7% more probability than its odds (1.88) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 13.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barquisimeto | Yaracuyanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 4.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.6 / 0.6 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Barquisimeto 1–0–1 Yaracuyanos
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Yaracuyanos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barquisimeto |
| 29/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Barquisimeto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Yaracuyanos |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Barquisimeto
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 12 | D |
| 18/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/04 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 13 | D |
Yaracuyanos
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |