⚽ Football · Venezuela Cup · 24/06, 22:00
Urena SC vs CD Lara
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urena SC 1560 · CD Lara 1562
| Urena SC | Draw | CD Lara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.49Urena SC 1.42 · CD Lara 1.07
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSYes · 50%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueDraw +5.6%The model gives this bet 5.6% more probability than its odds (1.95) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Urena SC: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Urena SC | CD Lara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 6.3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Urena SC 2–2–1 CD Lara
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | CD Lara | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Urena SC |
| 12/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Lara |
| 17/07/16 Venezuela Primera Division | CD Lara | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Urena SC |
| 14/02/16 Venezuela Primera Division | Urena SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Lara |
| 30/08/15 Venezuela Primera Division | CD Lara | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Urena SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Urena SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
CD Lara
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 13 | D |