⚽ Football · Venezuela Cup · 24/06, 21:30
Mineros vs Bolivar SC
39%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mineros 1443 · Bolivar SC 1484
| Mineros | Draw | Bolivar SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 29% | 29% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.68Mineros 1.39 · Bolivar SC 1.29
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 57%
BTTSYes · 54%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueDraw +7.4%The model gives this bet 7.4% more probability than its odds (1.90) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar SC (rating 1443 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Bolivar SC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 13.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mineros | Bolivar SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0 | 7.1 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros 2–1–3 Bolivar SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Mineros | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Bolivar SC |
| 01/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mineros |
| 31/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mineros |
| 13/07/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Mineros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bolivar SC |
| 25/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Mineros | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Bolivar SC |
| 18/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Bolivar SC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mineros |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Mineros
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
Bolivar SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 05/04 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 29/03 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 9 | L |