⚽ Football · Mozambique Mocambola · 26/06, 14:45
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa Do Sol
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferroviario Lichinga 1495 · Costa Do Sol 1521
| Ferroviario Lichinga | Draw | Costa Do Sol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.32Ferroviario Lichinga 1.26 · Costa Do Sol 1.07
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Costa Do Sol: 4-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferroviario Lichinga | Costa Do Sol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.5 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviario Lichinga 0–1–4 Costa Do Sol
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ferroviario Lichinga |
| 23/09/24 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Ferroviario Lichinga |
| 03/06/23 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Ferroviario Lichinga |
| 03/07/22 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ferroviario Lichinga |
| 30/07/21 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ferroviario Lichinga |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ferroviario Lichinga
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/11 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/11 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/11 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/11 | GDRT Textafrica Mozambique Mocambola |
3-2 | 5-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Desportivo de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/10 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Costa Do Sol
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/12 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/11 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/11 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |