Football · Mozambique Mocambola · 28/06, 14:45
Vilankulo FC vs Black Bulls
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilankulo FC 1513 · Black Bulls 1495
| Vilankulo FC | Draw | Black Bulls | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 34% | 41% |
| Market | 26% | 31% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.9Vilankulo FC 0.8 · Black Bulls 1.1
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 56%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.9 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Black Bulls: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vilankulo FC | Black Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 5 | 4.4 / 8.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilankulo FC 1–1–2 Black Bulls
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Vilankulo FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Black Bulls |
| 06/11/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Vilankulo FC |
| 23/10/24 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Vilankulo FC |
| 23/10/23 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Vilankulo FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilankulo FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/06 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/05 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/12 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/11 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/11 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/11 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Black Bulls
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CFV Vulcano Mozambique Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Vulcano Mozambique Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/05 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/12 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |