Football · Brazil Copa Gaucho · 27/06, 20:00
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas
46%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Cruz RS 1547 · Brasil de Pelotas 1520
| Santa Cruz RS | Draw | Brasil de Pelotas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 30% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 30% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.27Santa Cruz RS 0.91 · Brasil de Pelotas 1.37
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Cruz RS | Brasil de Pelotas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.6 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Cruz RS 0–0–1 Brasil de Pelotas
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/24 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho | Brasil de Pelotas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Santa Cruz RS |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Cruz RS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/06 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Gramadense Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/07 | Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Brasil de Pelotas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
3-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | GE Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 24/05 | Sao Joseense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Sao Jose PA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |