Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 27/06, 17:00
FC Balti vs FC Politehnica Chisinau
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Balti 1468 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1548
| FC Balti | Draw | FC Politehnica Chisinau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.52FC Balti 1.7 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 0.82
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Politehnica Chisinau (rating 1468 vs 1548).
- H2H favours FC Balti: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.1 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Balti | FC Politehnica Chisinau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 57/29/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Balti 2–0–1 FC Politehnica Chisinau
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Balti |
| 21/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 3-2 HT 0-2 | FC Politehnica Chisinau |
| 26/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Balti |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Balti
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
FC Politehnica Chisinau
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | FC Floresti Moldova Divizia A |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Divizia A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Iskra Ribnita Moldova Divizia A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Stauceni Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | FC Floresti Moldova Divizia A |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Divizia A |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/03 | Iskra Ribnita Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |