Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 28/06, 19:00
CS Petrocub vs Dacia Buiucani
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Petrocub 1608 · Dacia Buiucani 1363
| CS Petrocub | Draw | Dacia Buiucani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.03CS Petrocub 2.33 · Dacia Buiucani 0.7
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- CS Petrocub usually leads at HT (70%) while Dacia Buiucani trails (50%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Petrocub (rating 1608 vs 1363).
- H2H favours CS Petrocub: 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Petrocub | Dacia Buiucani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Petrocub 5–1–0 Dacia Buiucani
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CS Petrocub |
| 08/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Dacia Buiucani |
| 22/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Dacia Buiucani |
| 20/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CS Petrocub |
| 27/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dacia Buiucani |
| 27/10/24 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Dacia Buiucani | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CS Petrocub |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Petrocub
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Balti Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Dacia Buiucani
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/03 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |