⚽ Football · Kuwait League · 26/06, 19:45
Al Tadamon SC vs Al Shabab Club
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Tadamon SC 1534 · Al Shabab Club 1408
| Al Tadamon SC | Draw | Al Shabab Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.47Al Tadamon SC 1.84 · Al Shabab Club 0.63
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 61%
Likely score1-0
💎 ValuePremium onlyHigh value detected. Go premium to see it.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Al Tadamon SC: the model gives it +10.2% more probability than its odds (2.05) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Tadamon SC (rating 1534 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Al Tadamon SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Tadamon SC | Al Shabab Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Tadamon SC 3–2–1 Al Shabab Club
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Kuwait League | Al Shabab Club | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Tadamon SC |
| 07/11/25 Kuwait League | Al Tadamon SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Shabab Club |
| 21/10/22 Kuwait Crown Prince Cup | Al Shabab Club | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Tadamon SC |
| 25/04/22 Kuwait League | Al Tadamon SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Shabab Club |
| 03/04/22 Kuwait Cup | Al Shabab Club | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Tadamon SC |
| 10/01/22 Kuwait League | Al Shabab Club | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Tadamon SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Al Tadamon SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/02 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 17/02 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/02 | Al Jahra Kuwait Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 05/02 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Al Shabab Club
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/02 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait Cup |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 05/02 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/01 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |