⚽ Football · Kuwait League · 26/06, 19:45
Al Naser SC vs Al Jahra
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Naser SC 1516 · Al Jahra 1432
| Al Naser SC | Draw | Al Jahra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.53Al Naser SC 1.73 · Al Jahra 0.8
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSNo · 55%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Naser SC (rating 1516 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Al Naser SC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Naser SC | Al Jahra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.5 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Naser SC 5–0–1 Al Jahra
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Kuwait League | Al Jahra | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Naser SC |
| 26/10/25 Kuwait League | Al Naser SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Jahra |
| 02/03/24 Kuwait League | Al Naser SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Jahra |
| 25/11/23 Kuwait League | Al Jahra | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Al Naser SC |
| 07/05/23 Kuwait League | Al Naser SC | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Al Jahra |
| 10/04/23 Kuwait League | Al Jahra | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Al Naser SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Al Naser SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/02 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/02 | Yarmouk Kuwait Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/02 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Al Jahra
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 14/05 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/02 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 13/02 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/02 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/01 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |